When the Big One Comes
Kim Olsen has created a computer-generated model of an 8.0 earthquake in southern California.


It鈥檚 enough to make you shudder. Seismologists predict there is a 99 percent probability that California will experience an earthquake measuring 6.7 on the Richter scale during the next 30 years. An even larger quake鈥攐f 7.0 magnitude鈥攊s 94 percent certain.
But even those mighty temblors would pale next to 鈥渢he big one,鈥 the moniker for a magnitude 8.0 or greater quake on the San Andreas Fault.
麻豆传媒映画 professor and seismologist Kim Olsen has created a computer-generated model of this monster quake in order to project its capacity for destruction.
On the next episode of 鈥溌槎勾接郴 Insider,鈥 airing Sept. 22 at 12:30 p.m. on KPBS, Olsen unveils the simulation, which shows strong shaking in the San Bernardino, Ventura and Los Angeles basins. The strongest ground movements persist for about one minute in Los Angeles, but begin to subside as the waves move toward San Diego.
鈥淪an Diego is actually located in a fairly fortunate position for such an earthquake (on the San Andreas Fault),鈥 Olsen said. 鈥淭he visualization shows relatively minor, roller-coaster-like shaking that would mostly be felt in the high rises downtown.鈥
about the latest 麻豆传媒映画 Insider, which also features stories on Aztec sculptor Jess Dominguez and cutting-edge 麻豆传媒映画 research to reverse the damage caused by heart attacks.